Been looking at a few villas and townhosues around Melbourne lately and I think this part of the market is getting interesting again.
And just to clarify, when I say units I'm not talking about high-rise apartmnets. I'm talking about the older Melbourne-style villa/unit, maybe 4-8 on the block, usually 2 bedrooms, garage/car space and hopefully a bit of land. Plus townhouses.
Some of these have basically gone nowhere for years.
There are examples around Melbourne where units are selling for similar money to 5 or even 10 years ago, while houses in the same areas have become significantly more expesive.
Some of the data I've been looking at has units around the $500k-$550k mark in areas where houses can be $800k-$900k.
That's a pretty big diffrence.
So I ran a rough comparison between a $720k investment house and a $550k townhouse/villa.
For both I've assumed a 20% deposit, 6.5% interest-only loan, $540pw rent and no vacancy. I've used 6% for property managemnt, $120 a year for smoke alarm compliance and around 0.5% of the purchase price each year for maintenance.
Obviously these costs can vary quite a bit depending on the property and the investor. Particularly interest rates, rent, land tax, strata, insurance and maintenance. This is just using the same assumptions on both to compare them.
| $720k House |
$550k Townhouse/Villa |
|
|
| Purchase price |
$720,000 |
| Deposit – 20% |
$144,000 |
| Loan – 80% LVR |
$576,000 |
| Interest – 6.5% p.a. IO |
$3,120 pm |
| Weekly rent |
$540 pw |
| Gross rental yield |
3.9% |
| Council rates |
$210 pm |
| Insurance / strata |
$110 pm insurance |
| Maintenance – 0.5% of purchase price p.a. |
$300 pm |
| Water rates |
$90 pm |
| Land tax |
$155 pm ($1,860 pa) |
| Property management – 6% of rent |
$140 pm |
| Smoke alarm compliance – $120 p.a. |
$10 pm |
| Total costs |
$4,135 pm |
| Gross rental income – $540 pw |
$2,340 pm |
| Monthly shortfall |
-$1,795 |
| Annual shortfall |
-$21,540 |
| Deposit + estimated purchasing costs |
$187,372 |
*For the townhouse example, building insurance is assumed to be included in the strata.
What got my attention wasn't really the purchase price difference. It was the holding cost.
Both are getting $540pw in this example.
But the house is costing roughly $1,795 a month out of pocket, while the townhouse/villa is around $924.
That's around $10,450 a year difference.
You've also got roughly $187k required upfront for the house versus $143k for the townhouse/villa, so about another $44k of your cash tied up from day one.
Obviously I'm not saying that automatically makes the townhouse the better investment.
The house may end up having better capital growth. That's the trade-off and probably where most of the debate will be.
But I think this is why investors are starting to look at this type of stock differently.
Interest rates are higher, land tax in Victoria has increased and the yield on a lot of houses isn't particularly exciting.
If I can get around 5% gross yield instead of 4%, borrow $136k less and have roughly $10k less coming out of my pocket every year, I think it's at least worth considering.
You still need to look at the location, land component, supply, floorplan, owners corp, sinking fund, maintenance history and whether there's going to be owner-occupier demand when you eventually sell it.
And obviously a townhouse with ridiculous strata or a big special levy coming isn't suddenly a good investment.
But there's another side to this which I actually find just as interesting.
First-home buyers and owner occupiers are looking at the same properties for completely different reasons.
Using the same $720k house vs $550k townhouse/villa example, here's what it could look like for someone buying as their own home.
For this one I've kept the 20% deposit and 6.5% rate, but changed the loan to 30-year principal & interest repayments.
| $720k House |
$550k Townhouse/Villa |
|
|
| Purchase price |
$720,000 |
| Deposit – 20% |
$144,000 |
| Loan – 80% LVR |
$576,000 |
| Interest rate |
6.5% |
| Loan |
30yr P&I |
| Approx. repayment |
$3,641 pm |
| Monthly difference |
|
| Annual difference |
|
Again, this is just an example. Deposit size, interest rate, loan structure and actual repaymnets will depend on the buyer.
But you're talking about roughly $34k less for the 20% deposit, borrowing $136k less and around $860 less going towards the mortgage every month.
That's more than $10k a year in repayment difference.
And I think this is where the conversation gets interesting for first-home buyers.
Higher interest rates have reduced borrowing capacities, but people haven't suddenly stopped wanting to live near work, family, schools, transport and everything else.
Someone might be able to buy a $720k house, but it could mean moving another 20-30km further out.
Or they could spend around $550k on a decent townhouse or older villa in an established suburb they actually want to live in.
Personally I think townhouses are probably the sweet spot for a lot of buyers at the moment, depending on the suburb and budget.
You can still get 2-3 bedrooms, garage, some outdoor space and something that feels much closer to living in a house.
Older villas can make sense too, particularly something with a bit of land, simple construction, decent floorplan and only a handful of properties on the block.
I'm still cautious with apartmnet buildings, particularly the larger developments where you're one of 100+ similar properties.
I'm definitely not saying villas and townhouses are suddenly going to outperform houses.
I just think the numbers are starting to make the decision a lot more interesting.
You've got investors looking at them because of yield and holding costs.
Then you've got first-home buyers and owner occupiers looking at the same properties because they can potentially borrow less, have lower repayments and still live in an area they actually want to live in.
Two completely different reasons, but both are pushing buyers towards similar stock.
Anyone else seeing this in Melbourne at the moment?