US equities markets will never crash again and the reason will cause a tidal wave into hard assets

the US government can not and will not allow equities to crash in real USD terms for a protracted amount of time, it is now a matter of national security that they don’t

they have gone all in on AI and so any faltering in debt servicing that occurs there will be backstopped by them, \*\*bookmark this post\*\*

I’m not talking about the Fed put

This is more like the DoD put

The US gov sees civil unrest spreading across Europe due to the unaffordability crisis they are experiencing there, a collapse in equities will reduce tax revenue to the extent that they will be forced to cut spending, if they cut spending it will lead to riots because the poorest are hit hardest by austerity measures, and the poorest have the least to lose

This austerity will be exploited by the US’ enemies to great effect if allowed to occur

unaffordability riots in the US won’t be like the riots in Europe because the police in the US will use deadly force and it will appear more like a civil war than simple rioting

the US is in the unique position of being able to export inflation to the rest of the world via the USD so the expansion of the money supply caused by the backstopping of the AI build out won’t be as big a problem domestically as it will be out there

They might refer to it as “nationalization of AI” or something similar but when you hear it, it means they are going to print covid level money into the system and equities will pump as more and more people realize that the market itself is backed by the US government

this backstopping serves the dual purpose of monetizing the $40T they already owe and continues the dominance of US AI superiority because AI in its current form is not profitable and won’t be for some time

hard assets like bitcoin, gold and commodities will rise commensurately and will be the true and correct indicators of the rate of inflation caused by the above

tinfoil hatter rant over

Every time Bitcoin tries to charge toward $85,000, it hits a wall. Every time it drops to $80,000, invisible hands buy it back.

If you’re only looking at basic candlestick charts, it looks like frustrating, random "chop." But beneath the surface, there is nothing random about where we are stalling or where we are bouncing.

We are currently boxed inside a $6,000 compression chamber.

Above us sit trapped 6-to-12-month "top buyers" at $87.7K who are desperate to exit at breakeven. Beneath us sits a heavily fortified concrete trench at $81.5K—the aggregate cost basis of all U.S. spot Bitcoin ETF investors ($108B+ in assets).

With offshore stablecoins at 12-month lows and corporate treasury flywheels stalled, Wall Street’s $81,500 entry price is currently the final firewall preventing a deeper drop to $74.8K.

I've been researching whether institutions can trade RWAs onchain without revealing all their trading information to the public. I found several solutions, each with its own trade-offs.

Zero-knowledge proofs can verify transactions without revealing sensitive details. Fully homomorphic encryption enables computation on encrypted data (though performance remains a challenge). Trusted execution environments offer better performance at the cost of trusting the hardware setup. Another option is using private or permissioned chains.

What if we could add privacy directly to public chains instead? For example, private RFQs could hide trading intentions, while shielded transactions could keep transfer details confidential.

I am still confused about how all this would work with existing DeFi solutions.

Can we use confidential RWA tokens as collateral or trade them using public liquidity pools? And how can institutions selectively disclose information to auditors without making everything public?

1. Ethereum holds 66.5% of total USDC in circulation. Ethereum functions as the primary home for USDC, meaning centralized exchanges, institutional trading desks, and lending protocols depend heavily on ETH based ERC-20 USDC for deep order books and settlement.
2. The Solana network holds 9.34% of total USDC in circulation. It is primarily used in DeFi, on-chain trading, institutional settlements and high speed payments.
3. HyperEVM holds over $6.5 billion in USDC to serve as the foundational liquidity, universal collateral and quote asset for the Hyper Liquid ecosystem.

I built a free Bitcoin retirement simulator that models the price in cycles (peak, crash, flat years, recovery) instead of one smooth growth line. People keep asking “how much do I need?”, so I ran the common cases.

Spending starts today and rises 2.75% a year with inflation, with no more buying. BTC needed for it to last 30 years:

(BTC at about $80,700, run on 24 Oct.)

What stood out to me:

• The price path you assume does most of the work. Same spending, about 5x difference between the optimistic and conservative paths.
• Doubling the time doesn’t double the BTC. Going from 20 to 40 years takes roughly 35–50% more on the baseline and conservative paths, because the later years are paid for at higher prices. That only holds while prices keep rising: the model’s last cycle ends in 2045, after which the price levels off while spending keeps growing.
• None of these start with a crash. All three paths climb to a 2029 peak first, so the first few years look kinder than a crash-first scenario would. No taxes, fees or pension either.

The full table, including 20 and 40 years, is here, and each number opens in the simulator so you can change the inputs: https://bitcoinlifespan.com/bitcoin-retirement-calculator/

It’s a model, not advice. Curious which assumptions people here would change.

The convergence between traditional and blockchain-based worlds of finance continues to accelerate. The latest example came on Thursday when the personal finance company SoFi announced it is offering tokenized deposits, which are functionally equivalent to cash but are stored on a blockchain.

The new product is called SoFi Earn, or SOFIE, and those who hold the tokenized deposits will earn a 4.4% rate of interest and benefit from FDIC protection.

The launch comes amid an ongoing, and often confusing, debate over the merits of tokenized deposits versus stablecoins, which are another form of dollar equivalents long embraced by the crypto industry. The two types of digital dollar are worth the same, but are subject to different regulatory regimes and use cases.

Stablecoins like USDC, which is owned by Circle and Coinbase, are backed by a 1-to-1 reserve of dollars or U.S. Treasuries and can be transferred to anyone in the world who holds a crypto wallet. But they are a form of currency that, for now at least, exists outside the U.S. banking system, and are ineligible to earn interest or receive backing from the FDIC.

Read more [paywall removed for Redditors]: https://fortune.com/2026/10/22/sofi-tokenized-deposits/?utm_source=reddit/

Welcome to the Daily Crypto Discussion thread. Please read the disclaimer and rules before participating.

Disclaimer:

Consider all information posted here with several liberal heaps of salt, and always cross check any information you may read on this thread with known sources. Any trade information posted in this open thread may be highly misleading, and could be an attempt to manipulate new readers by known "pump and dump (PnD) groups" for their own profit. BEWARE of such practices and exercise utmost caution before acting on any trade tip mentioned here.

Please be careful about what information you share and the actions you take. Do not share the amounts of your portfolios (why not just share percentage?). Do not share your private keys or wallet seed. Use strong, non-SMS 2FA if possible. Beware of scammers and be smart. Do not invest more than you can afford to lose, and do not fall for pyramid schemes, promises of unrealistic returns (get-rich-quick schemes), and other common scams.

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Came across an Artemis report on how stablecoin cards actually work and it changed how I think about “spending crypto.” In most programs, the merchant never receives crypto at all. Your stablecoin gets sold, either when you top up or at the moment you pay, and the merchant gets regular fiat through the card network.

The report estimated crypto-card spending grew from about $100 million a month in early 2023 to over $1.5 billion by late 2025, but said the vast majority of that settled on fiat rails. So the growth is real, but the crypto part mostly happens on the funding side, not at checkout.

I get why it’s built this way, since it lets these cards work at any terminal. But it makes me wonder whether stablecoin cards are actually pushing crypto payments forward, or just acting as a nicer on-ramp to the same old card rails?

Hello everyone, I am writing this to warn the crypto community about Bitget’s unlawful practices regarding user deposits. The exchange has permanently confiscated $750 USD of my personal funds and refuses to return them, completely ignoring international financial laws and standard corporate off-boarding procedures. Here is exactly what happened:
1. My Bitget account was previously banned due to a Terms of Service (ToS) violation. I fully accepted this decision and did not ask to restore my trading access or use their platform again.
2. Recently, an automated withdrawal of $750 USD was accidentally triggered from my Stake platform account to my old, saved Bitget BEP20 address.
3. The transaction was fully confirmed on the blockchain (BNB Chain / BEP20). Verified TxID: 0xad687fbf0451f3b1de6207f72cb183ac4fb5aaeb34df0621a98c533da196af95 I immediately contacted Bitget Support (Ticket ID: #3454156) asking for a one-time manual REFUND of my accidental deposit back to the sender or to my external personal non-custodial wallet (MetaMask/Trust Wallet). Instead of escalating the issue to the Compliance/AML department or asking for a standard Video Verification of the source of funds, Bitget support (operators Rainie, KW, and Jinn) repeatedly copy-pasted a template response stating that «any deposits made after account termination are made at your own risk» and declared that my funds are «unreturnable» and «this decision is final». I then sent them a final formal notice, giving them 24 hours to review the case professionally at a management level, explicitly stating that I am ready to provide full unedited video evidence proving the legitimate source of funds from Stake. Bitget’s response? They simply GHOSTED me and silently CLOSED my support ticket #3454156 without any reply or explanation. Let’s be clear: A private company’s Terms of Service DO NOT give them the legal right to misappropriate and steal a user’s private property. Unless there is an official warrant from law enforcement or a court seizure order, freezing a deposit and refusing to return it to the rightful owner is a straight-up exit scam. Bitget Team, I demand that a Senior Compliance Officer reviews this case manually and initiates a manual refund to my external wallet. I have all the proofs ready. Ticket ID: #3454156

After getting professional counselling they released me my money and unbanned my account.

Still, I’m unhappy with the entire situation.

Binance is extremely unprofessional. It took 2 damn months. They give 0 information. Terrible company. Won’t trade or invest anything on their platform again.

Remember guys: if it’s not your keys, it is not your crypto. Always use Cold Wallet.
I don’t even recommend Phantom Wallet because that shit keeps asking you to connect to your Apple ID which is very unsafe.

(my iPhone got stolen in Vietnam once and they unlocked stole my entire Apple ID. i had to escalate all the way to Tim Cooks team and phone call with them etc to resolve that case. Apple IDs and iPhones are NOT safe. Your passcode is unsafe too. Shit can always get unlocked. Tons of Day 0 security issues that still exist and get exploited).

Even fucking Ledger got compromised now by interceptors who open the package.

At this point, fuck even Trust Wallet. Just use a Paper Wallet.

Store the words on different physical locations including Bank tray. So even if you get kidnapped you genuinely can’t provide the word key phrase.

Welcome to the Daily Crypto Discussion thread. Please read the disclaimer and rules before participating.

Disclaimer:

Consider all information posted here with several liberal heaps of salt, and always cross check any information you may read on this thread with known sources. Any trade information posted in this open thread may be highly misleading, and could be an attempt to manipulate new readers by known "pump and dump (PnD) groups" for their own profit. BEWARE of such practices and exercise utmost caution before acting on any trade tip mentioned here.

Please be careful about what information you share and the actions you take. Do not share the amounts of your portfolios (why not just share percentage?). Do not share your private keys or wallet seed. Use strong, non-SMS 2FA if possible. Beware of scammers and be smart. Do not invest more than you can afford to lose, and do not fall for pyramid schemes, promises of unrealistic returns (get-rich-quick schemes), and other common scams.

Rules:

• All sub rules apply in this thread. The prior exemption for karma and age requirements is no longer in effect.
• Discussion topics must be related to cryptocurrency.
• Behave with civility and politeness. Do not use offensive, racist or homophobic language.
• Comments will be sorted by newest first.

Useful Links:

• Beginner Resources
• Intro to r/Cryptocurrency MOONs 🌔
• MOONs Wiki Page
• r/CryptoCurrency Discord
• r/CryptoCurrencyMemes
• Prior Daily Discussions - (Link fixed.)
• r/CryptoCurrencyMeta - Join in on all meta discussions regarding r/CryptoCurrency whether it be moon distributions or governance.

Finding Other Discussion Threads

Follow a mod account below to be notified in your home feed when the latest r/CC discussion thread of your interest is posted.

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